Nov 1, 2012

Nate Silver Forecast: Obama Will Win

Satellite loop from the University of Wisconsin-Madison,
showing Hurricane Sandy as it made landfall in New Jersey.
Nate Silver has become a phenomenon (and sometimes a tranquilizer of sorts) for Americans anxious over the prospect the White, Christian, authoritarian, Republican Party could be unleashed onto what remains a largely depoliticized America.

And for good reason, Silver is predicting Obama's re-election.

With few notable exceptions, moderate, intelligent Republicans—for reasons surpassing understanding—refuse to publicly criticize the Tea Party's direction led by underground, corporatist movements such as the Koch brothers and other rightwing billionaires who would literally alter the composition of the Earth's climate, because they perceive this to be convenient in the short term.

Global warming and extreme weather events, like Hurricane Sandy, who cares? We all should.

Other horrors await.

Women's choice—we have to get rid of that.

Voting Rights Act—that's why we have a corrupt U.S. Supreme Court to strike it down.

Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid—Ayn Rand (were this loony alive) and the Koch brothers do not approve. Plenty of Scott Walkers and Paul Ryans to take their money and implement their plans of destruction.

In Wisconsin, the Walker regime takes aim at the Coalition of Wisconsin Aging Groups (see excellent article by Mike Ivey) and other institutions of increasing importance for seniors. [more on that in the coming weeks]

One can go on.

President Obama represents a bulwark against this neo-fascist movement, hence my mentioning Nate Silver's prognosis of an Obama victory. Silver is rigorous and fact-based.  His track record on forecasting national political wins is bolstered by his prediction of the GOP take-over of the House in 2010.

But one wonders what exactly the Tea Party-GOP would have to do before moderate, intelligent Republicans would voice objection.

History long presents a horror show of bystanders with results that ought to strike the conscience of widespread passive compliance (another powerful underground movement) today.

Vote for Obama, but do not for the sake of your children and your grandchildren, make that the end of your political activity.

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