Showing posts with label 2012 Presidential election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2012 Presidential election. Show all posts

Nov 7, 2012

Obama, Dems Beat Back Neo-fascist Counteroffensive

The radical Tea Party-GOP forces went all in on their desperate gamble to split through and divide democratic forces of the United States of America and install a white, racist, neo-christian, misogynistic axis answerable only to the plutocrats.

We won, they lost.

GOP strategists, because of the changing demographics of our country, have acknowledged this is the last time the Party-GOP can wage such a national campaign.

They tried to illegally obstruct blacks, browns and homeless veterans from voting; they largely failed thanks in large measure to the work of committed jurists and civil libertarians and the committment of the Americans the rightwing hates..

I worked in Fitchburg, Wisconsin yesterday and all day, a steady stream of black, brown, young and old voters poured into our fire station polling place, smiling, hugging, and laughing as a single GOP election observer looked on sternly, occasionally loudly voicing objection if an Obama button were showing through womans' coats. Not polite to look so closely, NAZI bastard. We laughed at him anyway.

My niece with Tammy in Milwaukee this week
Fitchburg turned out in near-record numbers, with Obama garnering 70 percent of the vote.

And Tammy Baldwin beat Tommy Thompson to fascist anger everywhere.

As Joshua Holland writes this morning: "The diverse, creative, younger coalition that propelled the first black president – a guy whose middle name is Hussein – to the presidency, beat back what may well have been the last stand of Ronald Reagan's coalition of plutocrats, white working-class men and religious conservatives."

President Obama wrote last night:

I want you to know that this wasn't fate, and it wasn't an accident. You made this happen.

You organized yourselves block by block. You took ownership of this campaign five and ten dollars at a time. And when it wasn't easy, you pressed forward.

I will spend the rest of my presidency honoring your support, and doing what I can to finish what we started.

But I want you to take real pride, as I do, in how we got the chance in the first place.

Today is the clearest proof yet that, against the odds, ordinary Americans can overcome powerful interests.
Right on, Mr. President.

Nov 5, 2012

20,000-plus people celebrate impending victory

Obama in Madison, Wisconsin on the morning
before election day, 2012
A walk around Madison this morning shows much about President Obama.

One sees laid-back, good-natured people working for civil rights, the environment, soft smiles and good will around the edges of the 20,000-plus people in the over-flow crowd in Madison for the Obama-Springsteen rally.
Obama spoke against the "top-down economy that crashed our economy," in favor of a stronger society "where everybody's got a shot."

The extremist, rightwing GOP, still hard at work blocking people from voting and then lying about it, features Romney making the rounds at swing states, just as Obama is doing.

But when you see Romney, every bone in your body tells you: This guy is lying, and this guy doesn't give a damn about you.

Here's some Bruce:

Nate Silver, Larry Sabato: Obama Will Win; Baldwin Will Win

GOP Obstruction in Florida. Long Lines
stretch into the dark because of GOP-shortened
voting periods. The GOP has obstructed voters
nationally as the more Americans voting, the less
likely Republicans can win.
As Republican efforts from Wisconsin to Ohio to Florida to obstruct voters continue, two leading electoral analysts say Obama will win despite GOP voter suppression efforts.

Nate Silver predicts an Obama victory (86 percent probability), also giving the critical state of Ohio an 87 percent probability of voting for Obama.

Obama's winning Ohio means Romney will have to win Wisconsin to have any chance of prevailing, a prospect for Romney that is blocked in Wisconsin since much of the GOP's voter obstruction program was struck down in court as unconstitutional.

Silver rates Obama winning Wisconsin as a 94 percent probability. Silver also says Virginia is a likely Obama state, giving president Obama a total 307 electoral votes (270 to win).

Larry J. Sabato (with Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley) also predicts an Obama victory. Writes Sabato:

With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature’s October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow. Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin and topping Mitt Romney, with 290 electoral votes.
Sabato predicts a Romney victory in Virginia, differing from Silver on this swing state.

In Wisconsin, Silver and Sabato predict a Tammy Baldwin win over hedge fund consultant, Tommy Thompson, with Silver giving Baldwin a 77 percent probability of winning.

By the way climate change denier, George Will, predicts a Romney landslide.

Nov 2, 2012

Obama Victory Approaches October High; Wisconsin 94%, Ohio 82% Likely Obama Win

The face of the Republican Party's national RICO program.
Rockingham County Sheriff’s Office - Colin Small,
a former employee of Strategic Allied Consulting, a contractor
for the Republican Party of Virginia, had been scheduled
to appear last Tuesday before a grand jury
after he was charged with tossing
completed registration forms into a recycling bin.
Read Nate Silver's latest for electoral updates. Check out the Brad Blog for the national criminal Republican scandal.

It is becoming obvious now (finally) to casual voters that "Romney is one of the most dishonest, duplicitous candidates to ever seek the presidency," as Charles M. Blow writes.

The moderate Republicans continue their give-into-the-Tea Party-terrorists argument or else they'll wreck this country, as Paul Krugman writes:

But are we ready to become a country in which 'Nice country you got here. Shame if something were to happen to it' becomes a winning political argument? I hope not. By all means, vote for Mr. Romney if you think he offers the better policies. But arguing for Mr. Romney on the grounds that he could get things done veers dangerously close to accepting protection-racket politics, which have no place in American life.
Even the Washington Post has grown disgusted with Romney.

THROUGH ALL THE flip-flops, there has been one consistency in the campaign of Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney: a contempt for the electorate.
As for the GOP criminality, through all the dirty, illegal programs that are integral to GOP politics these days, the leading media appears finally up to doing its job to a point.

I doubt Brad Friedman will get the credit he deserves for his routine, breaking, exclusive reports at the Brad Blog, but at least he is pushing the Post into becoming a newspaper vis a vis a Party sheet.

The White Party (GOP) is rivaling Nixon in its fetid politics and the John Birch Society in its policies. And the game is just about up.

Check out this piece from Carol D. Leonnig and Tom Hamburger:

American Crossroads, the political organization that Republican operative Karl Rove helped found, paid (Nathan) Sproul’s firms $1.5 million in the week before the 2010 midterm elections for get-out-the-vote efforts and voter phone calls, according to a review of election records. In total, companies led by Sproul have received $21 million from Republican campaign committees for voter outreach work since 2004. Much of the 2012 payments came from the national party to pay for voter registration in the key states of Florida, Colorado, North Carolina and Virginia.

Why Obama Matters in History

They took your lives; they could not take your pride
"Each time a man stands up for an ideal, or acts to improve the lot of others, or strikes out against injustice, he sends forth a tiny ripple of hope, and crossing each other from a million different centers of energy and daring those ripples build a current which can sweep down the mightiest walls of oppression and resistance."

Day of Affirmation Address, 6/6/66,
University of Capetown, Capetown, South Africa

City of Blinding Lights
(Paul Hewson; Dave Evans; Adam Clayton; Larry Mullen)


Nov 1, 2012

Nate Silver Forecast: Obama Will Win

Satellite loop from the University of Wisconsin-Madison,
showing Hurricane Sandy as it made landfall in New Jersey.
Nate Silver has become a phenomenon (and sometimes a tranquilizer of sorts) for Americans anxious over the prospect the White, Christian, authoritarian, Republican Party could be unleashed onto what remains a largely depoliticized America.

And for good reason, Silver is predicting Obama's re-election.

With few notable exceptions, moderate, intelligent Republicans—for reasons surpassing understanding—refuse to publicly criticize the Tea Party's direction led by underground, corporatist movements such as the Koch brothers and other rightwing billionaires who would literally alter the composition of the Earth's climate, because they perceive this to be convenient in the short term.

Global warming and extreme weather events, like Hurricane Sandy, who cares? We all should.

Other horrors await.

Women's choice—we have to get rid of that.

Voting Rights Act—that's why we have a corrupt U.S. Supreme Court to strike it down.

Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid—Ayn Rand (were this loony alive) and the Koch brothers do not approve. Plenty of Scott Walkers and Paul Ryans to take their money and implement their plans of destruction.

In Wisconsin, the Walker regime takes aim at the Coalition of Wisconsin Aging Groups (see excellent article by Mike Ivey) and other institutions of increasing importance for seniors. [more on that in the coming weeks]

One can go on.

President Obama represents a bulwark against this neo-fascist movement, hence my mentioning Nate Silver's prognosis of an Obama victory. Silver is rigorous and fact-based.  His track record on forecasting national political wins is bolstered by his prediction of the GOP take-over of the House in 2010.

But one wonders what exactly the Tea Party-GOP would have to do before moderate, intelligent Republicans would voice objection.

History long presents a horror show of bystanders with results that ought to strike the conscience of widespread passive compliance (another powerful underground movement) today.

Vote for Obama, but do not for the sake of your children and your grandchildren, make that the end of your political activity.

Oct 16, 2012

Kilgore: Obama Must Unmask Romney's Radical Vision of Change

Ed Kilgore has been dead-on target all campaign season. Check out his latest.

I would simply put it: It's about Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security and jobs and Mitt Romney doesn't care about any of these family issues.

Five Ways the Koch Brothers' Money Has a Grip on Mitt Romney

It was hardly love at first sight. But once the Koch brothers threw in behind Mitt Romney, they brought the full force of their political machine, and their anti-family agenda. Romney, for his part, fits the profile of a political psychopath.

By Adele M. Stan

Oct 4, 2012

The Big C Is On

Robert Shaw as Doyle Lonnegan in The Sting.
Who can tell who is the bad guy, and the mark?
But Paul Ryan is no Robert Redford, and Mitt Romney damn sure is no Paul Newman.

Relax folks, no one ever said the 2012 campaign would be a walk in the park.

And the pundits and talking heads claiming a Romney "win" in the debate are as substantial as a Mitt Romney promise.

All we need for victory is commitment from the American people to all the people of the United States of America.

Oct 3, 2012

United Front Against Radicalized GOP

Women for Obama
"More generally, the Republican assault on the very concept of collective bargaining and its treatment of wages and benefits (not to mention regulations and corporate taxes) as nothing more than cost-boosting burdens on 'wealth creators' harnesses the GOP to a concept of economic development that if it were effective would have long made Mississippi the nation's economic dynamo."
- Ed Kilgore, Washington Monthly

"I think they should spend five or ten minutes on [campaign 2012]. Seeing if there’s a point in taking part in the carefully orchestrated electoral extravaganza. And my own judgment, for what it’s worth, is, yes, there’s a point to taking a part," said Noam Chomsky.

Professor Chomsky said he will probably vote for Jill Stein for president in an effort to push a genuine electoral alternative, but that if he lived in a swing state he would vote "against Romney-Ryan, which means voting for Obama."
- From Matthew Filipowicz at AlterNet

Sep 21, 2012

In Washington Paul Ryan Is Considered a Serious Thinker

The Philosophy Prince: How Paul Ryan
convinced Washington of his genius

- by Alec MacGillis
"Let me not be alone in the back of the crowd," wrote Richard W. Rahn, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's chief economist, on the Wall Street Journal editorial page, "as I tip my hat to my longtime colleagues on the economic barricades: Thank you, Mr. Gilder, Mr. Kemp, Me Laffer, Mr, Mundell, Mr. Roberts, Mr. Ture, Mr. Wanniski and all the others who helped invent this economic miracle."

One week later the country in the great crash of 1987 "'came within an hour' of the disintegration of the stock market," as noted by Felix Rohatyn, a partner of Lazard Freres and Company. (Johnson. Sleepwalking Through History, America in the Reagan Years; W.W. Norton Company, 1991. p. 381)

The massive deregulation advocated by the likes of Jude Wanniski and George Gilder led directly to the crash of 1987.

Another round of deregulation begun a decade later and accelerated by George W. Bush led to the crash of 2008 and the worst recession since the Great Depression.

Today, Congressman Paul Ryan (who has spent his entire adult career insulated in Washington) and Mitt Romney (a leverage buy-out artist) advocate still more deregulation.

They appear not to have learned anything from recent history and the last 90 years of macroeconomics, or at least nothing can pierce their extremist ideology.

Early in his career as a congressional aide, "[Paul Ryan] nagged Cesar Conda, now Marco Rubio’s chief of staff and a Ryan admirer, so often with questions about supply-side economics that Conda lent him two books to keep him busy—Jude Wanniski’s The Way the World Works and George Gilder’s Wealth and Poverty, both foundational tracts for trickle-down Reaganomics," reports Alec MacGillis in the current issue of The New Republic.

Ryan of course is the same creature of Washington who called for ending Social Security in a speech to fans of Ayn Rand, another rightwing whack the coddled Ryan champions and whom Ryan has said is "the reason I got involved in public service."

Ryan and Romney are "preaching the same empty conservative sermon" that has brought us disaster before and will again if we elect these two phonies, as noted by David A. Stockman, who was the director of the Office of Management and Budget under Ronald Reagan from 1981 to 1985.   End Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, increase defense spending, attack Iran, lower taxes on the one percent and in the words of Richard W. Rahn, we can expect another "economic miracle."

This career Washington ideologue and leverage buy-out artist are the perfect front-men for today's GOP and Tea Party—deluded, dangerous and ahistorical.

The fact the Romney was caught on tape saying he doesn't care about working people is a lucky break.

As for Congressman Ryan, his insular background and hostility to social insurance will out to a wide audience as the campaign nears a 45-day sprint to election day as Congress maintains its 11 percent approval rating and the GOP ticket appears in free fall.

Even Scott Walker is running from it.

Sep 18, 2012

A Veteran on Mitt Romney

This was sent my way by Bob Walsh, Vietnam War veteran and attorney who helps fellow veterans get their deserved benefits. Do not believe some veterans get over being dissed as easily as the Chickenhawk ticket would like.

GOP Candidates Faced with Decision to Stand with Conniving Romney Exposed; What Will Paul Ryan Do?

Jump in, the water's fine, say Lyin Paul Ryan and Mitt
Update II: Keeping Romney at arm's length, Part III (TRMS)

Update: Republican Candidates Across Country Signal Concern on Mitt Romney Video Comments -
Republican and Tea Baggers the nation-over now face a political terrain on which the Romney-Ryan ticket is on record ridiculing Americans receiving veterans' benefits, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid as less-than individuals who "should take personal responsibility and care for their lives."

How about Paul Ryan? Does Romney include him? He has been subsidized by American tax payers since he was a young legislative aide right up to now?

Ought Ryan, in Romney's universe, reject public assistance?

Ryan's bio reveals a career as an aide to Senators Robert Kasten, Sam Brownback and Rep. Jack Kemp, and a political career financed by special interests.

So, how about it Ryan, will you give up your entitlements? How about just your health care?

One thing is certain. Mike Lofgren, who retired in 2011 after 28 years as a Republican Congressional staffer, sure got it right when he said Paul Ryan and his Ayn Rand-worshipping colleagues like the presidential nominee are after your Social Security and Medicare.

On a related matter, Zach at Blogging Blue reports:
There’s been no word (at least not that I’ve seen) from Mitt Romney’s campaign as to whether or not Mitt Romney considers the 7,000 millionaires who paid no income taxes in 2011 to be among the 47 percent of Americans that he feels he could never convince to take personal responsibility and care for their lives.

Romney Throws American People Under the Bus

Romney-Ryan's true political colors

Here is the sneering plutocrat, fully in thrall to a series of pernicious myths that are at the heart of the mania that has seized his party.

After David Corn breaks a political blockbuster, a secret recording in which Romney dishes to a roomful of fat cat donors epitomizing Mitt Romney's hypocrisy and disdain for working families, Romney refuses to back down as he bashes payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare as people neglecting "personal responsibility."

Bombshell Video Rocks Romney Campaign

David Brooks in his column just up at the New York Times torches his candidate, calling him Thurston Howell Romney. It’s welcome, but comedic, given Brooks’s praise for Romney and Ryan in the past. Mitt’s remarks in the video? "First, it suggests that he really doesn’t know much about the country he inhabits. Who are these freeloaders? Is it the Iraq war veteran who goes to the VA? Is it the student getting a loan to go to college? Is it the retiree on Social Security or Medicare? It suggests that Romney doesn’t know much about the culture of America. Yes, the entitlement state has expanded, but America remains one of the hardest-working nations on earth."

Jonathan Chait at New York just posted that Romney’s remarks "reveal something vital about Romney, and they disqualify his claim to the presidency…. the video exposes an authentic Romney as a far more sinister character than I had imagined. Here is the sneering plutocrat, fully in thrall to a series of pernicious myths that are at the heart of the mania that has seized his party…. The revelations in this video come to me as a genuine shock. I have never hated Romney."
Mitt Romney neglects to mention what Matt Taibbi points out: "In the past few decades, in fact, Romney has piled more debt onto more unsuspecting companies, written more gigantic checks that other people have to cover, than perhaps all but a handful of people on planet Earth."

Brad Plumer notes in the Washington Post:

28.3 percent of households pay no federal income tax, but they do pay the payroll taxes for Social Security and Medicare. That means they don’t need Mitt Romney to convince them to “take personal responsibility and care for their lives.” They already have jobs.

Most of the households in this group don’t pay any federal income tax because they qualify for enough deductions that their income tax liability has shrunk to zero. See this Tax Policy Center report for more, which gives an example of “a couple with two children earning less than $26,400. They get an $11,600 standard deduction and four exemptions of $3,700, and that takes their liability to zero.” Indeed, it’s worth noting that many of these deductions and credits were part of the 2001 and 2003 Bush tax cuts, which Romney wants to extend.---
During a private fundraiser earlier this year, Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney told a small group of wealthy contributors what he truly thinks of all the voters who support President Barack Obama. He dismissed these Americans as freeloaders who pay no taxes, who don't assume responsibility for their lives, and who think government should take care of them.

By David Corn

Fielding a question from a donor about how he could triumph in November, Romney replied:

There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right, there are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it. That that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what…These are people who pay no income tax.
Romney went on: "[M]y job is is not to worry about those people. I'll never convince them they should take personal responsibility and care for their lives."

Mother Jones has obtained video of Romney at this intimate fundraiser—where he candidly discussed his campaign strategy and foreign policy ideas in stark terms he does not use in public—and has confirmed its authenticity. To protect the confidential source who provided the video, we have blurred some of the image, and we will not identify the date or location of the event, which occurred after Romney had clinched the Republican presidential nomination. [UPDATE: After a restriction was lifted, Mother Jones reported that this fundraiser was held at the Boca Raton home of controversial private equity manager Marc Leder on May 17.]

Here is Romney expressing his disdain for Americans who back the president:

See Mother Jones for breaking news.

Sep 17, 2012

Romney Goes Ron Paulie-Bananas on Bernanke and the Fed

I am severely crazy, and I approve this message.
Look up Mitt Romney and desperate in Google and you won't require Nate Silver to discern the probability of the winner of the 2012 presidential election in November.

Romney's desperation is clear by his abandonment of Etch-a-Sketching toward the right-center, in favor of:
Notes Paul Krugman:
Last week Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve chairman, announced a change in his institution’s recession-fighting strategies. In so doing he seemed to be responding to the arguments of critics who have said the Fed can and should be doing more. And Republicans went wild. ...

So last week we learned that Ben Bernanke is willing to listen to sensible critics and change course. But we also learned that on economic policy, as on foreign policy, Mitt Romney has abandoned any pose of moderation and taken up residence in the right’s intellectual fever swamps.
Ed Kilgore terms Romney's serpentine "econo-manic campaign" (nearly identical to the campaigns of W. Bush, McCain and the other great deregulaters) as demonstrating a movement "so locked down on tactical day-to-day maneuvering that it’s lost sight of any coherent strategy or rationale-for-candidacy."

So now, Romney wants (and openly advocates) the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 declared as creating a mere inflation-fighting tool, no matter the legislative and administrative history of the law and the function of the Federal Reserve System.

Honest money

Who needs monetary policy? We need "honest money," as Paul Ryan phrases it, whatever that would be in GOP land.

As Brad DeLong puts it in his Paul Ryan calls for fewer jobs and higher unemployment in America: "'Honest money' is a Ron Paul dog whistle: the good productive workers, the bad exploitative usurers, the necessity of a hard-money depression to cleanse the monetary colon--you know the drill."

Continues Kilgore: "Long-time if somewhat muted (at least outside the Ron Paul campaign) Republican muttering about stimulative monetary policies broke out into the open in the Romney campaign’s reaction to the Fed’s QE3 announcement [last week]."

This is the same Fed that saved the country in the great crash of 1987 when we "'came within an hour' of the disintegration of the stock market," as noted by Felix Rohatyn, a partner of Lazard Freres and Company. (Johnson. Sleepwalking Through History, America in the Reagan Years; W.W. Norton Company, 1991. p. 381) [A reviewer of Haynes Johnson's book writes, "A readable critique of the fatuous illusions foisted on a willing society by American leadership in the 1980s." (Hyland. Foreign Affairs; Summer 1991)

Fatuous illusions indeed.

Haynes Johnson also notes, "In that moment of maximum peril (in 1987) the Federal Reserve Board in Washington stepped in forcefully and dramatically, [announcing its 'readiness to serve as a source of liquidity to support the economic and financial system.'"]

Damn stimulative forces! I say, let 'em crash.

Not the first time the Fed has saved the system, though 2008 has evidently fallen into the black hole where facts and history no longer exist.

And 1929? Pay no nevermind.

Those 18th, 19th and 20th century recessions. God and the Magical Market made sure nothing bad happened to good, Christian Americans; though 1987 was a bit scary—Satan, no doubt.

Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman; they're just part of those liberal elitists calling for our country not to commit economic suicide: Trying to control our lives, just like them liberals!

Probably went to college too. (See Jacob Hacker and Paul Pierson. The New York Review of Books)

What a couple of snobs, Rick Santorum might say.

Political journalists seriously ought to ask of Romney: Are you totally deranged?

To which Romney might reply, 'Look, I need my base, folks. It's my only shot at this thing.'

Aug 15, 2012

Paul Ryan's Insider Trader Scandal May Blow Back onto Romney

Paul Ryan cashes in for $1,000s

This story is not just about Paul Ryan, Washington creature and pampered scion, caught downing two $350 bottles of wine with a hedge fund manager at a D.C restaurant.

This is a venal insider trading story that has the legs and potential to dominate the all-important news cycle for weeks moving past Labor Day.

"Over the weekend, the Richmonder blog broke what looked like a whopper of a story: that Republican vice-presidential hopeful Paul Ryan had lined his pockets from information he had obtained from a now-legendary meeting that took place on September 18, 2008," writes Lynn Parramore.

Parramore notes media avoidance of Ryan's many political problems thus far, as Paul Krugman notes this morning, likely won't persist.

Certainly this insider trading story is moving forward, no matter that some are buying the Romney campaign's knock down that Ryan's trades "were part of a Russell 1000 index fund that automatically traded stocks as part of a pre-set formula," as Benjy Sarlin asserts.

Brad DeLong, professor of economics at the University of California, Berkeley, scoffs at Sarlin's explanation.

Writes DeLong:

There is no way in hell--if you are rebalancing to try to track the Russell 1000 index--you make only 58 trades in a year, that you make 27 of those 58 in large money-center banks, and that 10 of those trades involve shifting your money from Citi to Goldman and back five times.

No way in hell.

I don't know what was going on. But it appears that Ryan's flacks are--for some reason--simply making s@#& up.

Romney and Ryan lying? No.
By Lynn Parramore

On [September 18, 2008], Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and then-Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson broke the news to congressional leaders that they would have to approve a bailout to avert a complete meltdown of the financial system.

America was lurching toward catastrophe. But some folks were apparently thinking about their stock portfolios. Checking through Ryan’s financial disclosure reports, the Richmonder discovered that Ryan had sold the stocks of several major banks that day, while purchasing – surprise! – stock in Paulson’s old firm Goldman.
Check out the rest of Parramore's piece, because no way this story gets buried.

Jun 18, 2012

Romney needs white power heading into demographic headwinds

Racial and Ethnic Composition of 2008 Eligible Voters
"[I]f Romney fails to energize white working class voters, and Obama turns out his key constituencies, Romney will lose." (Alan Abramowitz)

"[T]he surge in black voter participation in 2008 was driven by increased participation among black women and younger voters. The voter turnout rate among eligible black female voters increased 5.1 percentage points, from 63.7% in 2004 to 68.8% in 2008. Overall, among all racial, ethnic and gender groups, black women had the highest voter turnout rate in November's election -- a first." (Mark Hugo Lopez, Associate Director, Pew Hispanic Center, Paul Taylor, Executive Vice President, Pew Research Center)

With a shrinking white percentage of the electorate, to win Republicans must obstruct non-GOP voters, and convince rural and suburban whites that only Mitt Romney can save America from the Bush-Cheney nightmare by replicating the Bush-Cheney policies, ... and god is watching.