Showing posts with label democrats. Show all posts
Showing posts with label democrats. Show all posts

Sep 9, 2010

Dem Strategist Hits Electoral Wave Hype

- Must reading for those afraid the electorate has lost its collective mind -

By Andrew Levison at the Democratic Strategist

... The horse race model is based on the image of two candidates in competition for office and assumes that most voters are continually listening to and evaluating information about the candidates and are therefore very strongly influenced by campaign events like party conventions and televised debates as well as by the daily news headlines. In one formal model in political psychology -- called the 'online processing' model -- voters are visualized as keeping a constantly updated running tally of their impressions of both candidates. ...

Jan 4, 2010

David Corn: Progressives' Waning Support Will Cost Obama, Dems

David Corn in Politics Daily:

Yet Obama and his aides should not ignore the spreading anxiety among his liberal fans. The folks who I've talked with -- in conversations that often feel like counseling sessions -- have said they are unlikely to hit the pavement for Obama and the D's in 2010. They felt empowered by Obama's campaign in 2008; they feel alienated from politics today. Disenchantment is not what you want in your base when you're heading toward a tough mid-term election.

Apr 27, 2009

Parry: Stop Democrats' Battered-wife syndrome

The politics of service and unity do not have to be the politics of battered-wife syndrome, like the posture and behavior of the Democrats Party today.

That's the thrust of a piece by Robert Parry in Consortium News.

Right-on, Parry.

Apr 23, 2008

Obama Campaign E-mail on The Facts

... Last night, Senator Clinton used up her last, best chance to cut appreciably into Barack Obama's elected delegate lead.

She came up short.

In fact, she barely made a dent. At most, she picked up a net gain of 12 delegates -- less than our gain, for example, in Colorado (where we gained 17) or Kansas (where we gained 14). Her gain in Pennsylvania was less than half of our gain in Virginia, where we added to our lead by 25 delegates.

But there is one measure by which her campaign's gains are real. ...

Here's how it breaks out:

After Pennsylvania, we have a lead of at least 159 elected delegates earned through all of the primaries and caucuses so far. We have a total of at least 1493 pledged delegates.

Meanwhile, we've been rapidly gaining ground among the so-called superdelegates (elected leaders and party officials who get a vote to choose our nominee), cutting Senator Clinton's lead from more than 100 early this year to less than 25.

We have a total of 238 publicly committed superdelegates.

The total number of delegates needed to secure the nomination is 2,024. That means we are only 293 delegates away from securing the nomination.

In less than two weeks, we'll square off in the key battleground states of North Carolina and Indiana, when there will be as many delegates at stake as there were last night in Pennsylvania.

To grow our significant lead and close out this race, we must remain competitive in these contests and the 7 others that will follow. ...

Pennsylvania was considered a state tailor-made for Senator Clinton -- she was always expected to win, and we trailed by as much as 25 points in the weeks leading up to the election.

But thanks to people like you, Barack gained support among key voters in the face of long odds and unrelenting negativity from Senator Clinton, and kept the margin close enough that her delegate gain was insignificant.

Indeed, the only surprising result from Pennsylvania is how much Barack was able to improve his standing among key voter groups since the Ohio primary.
Among white voters, Obama narrowed the gap by 6 points. Among voters over 60, he nearly cut the gap in half, from 41 points to 24 points. Meanwhile, we continued to run strong where we have all along -- for example, winning voters ages 18-24 with over 65% of the vote.

Barack campaigned hard in Pennsylvania. He talked about his plans to stand up to the special interests and bring people together so that we can change Washington to turn our economy around, make sure that every American has quality health care, and bring this misguided war to an end. ...

Apr 22, 2008

Clinton's Unchallenged Spin

Update: See Getting Real and Assessing Strength in Swing States (NYT, April 24, 2008).

This morning, Hillary Clinton and her surrogates keep on with the desperate and ludicrous spin that winning big states in the Democratic primary points to winning these states in the general election, hence Hillary is the stronger candidate.

Losing in national popular vote total, number of states won, number of pledged delegates won, and high negative voter impressions, the Clinton campaign's contention is posited to the likes of Wolf Blitzer and network know-nothings who let Clinton's ridiculous proposition go on in silence, without laughing it off the air.

To impart any substance into Clinton's assertion, one has to believe that Clinton's winning California and New York in the primary means that Obama as nominee would not win these states in a general election. Ridiculous.

And as Hillary likes to appeal to history, one must believe that Bill Clinton's losing most of New England in the 1992 primary would suggest that Bill would perform there badly in the general election. [It didn't happen.]

And to take Hillary's thesis and apply it to the swing states like Missouri, Iowa and Wisconsin (where Obama won in this primary), one must, by Clinton's logic, argue that Obama and not Clinton would win these vital states in the general election.

In fact, one can apply this logic of the 30-plus states won by Obama (at this primary's end) and conclude that Obama, and only Obama, would win these states in the general election.

Preposterous, yet the network airheads let this crap go on unchallenged.

Apr 17, 2008

Obama Hits Back

If they don't get it here, they gonna it out there with the Republicans.

Such is the occasional justification offered for Hillary's tactics when her campaign veers into lies and sleaze against Obama that go against conceptions of fair play and justice.

But the 'gonna get it out there' sounds a lot like the muttered idiocies of an abuser.

Barack Obama neither fights, flees nor freezes in the face of the assault of arguably the most inane presidential campaign debate of modern politics, as Charles Gibson and George Stephanopoulos delivered a pathetic performance, with a civil but typical Hillary on display.

He offers an agrument in rebuttal ande speaks to people as though they were adult voters.

In North Carolina yesterday, Obama delivers so reasonably and effectively that Obama's over-the-top critics have made mockeries of themselves, and implanted a meme in the political consciousness of what are the ridiculous charges next that they are going to try to sell.

“That was the roll-out of the Republican campaign against me in November. That is what they will do,” Mr. Obama said. “They will try to focus on all these issues that don’t have anything to do with how you pay your bills at the end of the month.” (NYT. Jeff Zeleny)

Obama brings it all back home to substance with a cool that is a pleasure to watch viz a vis Gibson, Stephanopoulos, and Hillary.

NYT Video of Obama at a town meeting today in North Carolina:

Clinton Pretends There Was a Debate Last Night

via MAL Contends

The campaign reactions tell the story.

You can see the difference in the integrity of the two campaigns by their reactions to this inane, imbecilic forum last night by two manifestly unqualified debate moderators.

There was serious a debate last night and Hillary won - says Hillary's campaign.

Obama’s site offered Americans the opportunity to comment on this travesty, "Post Debate: Any thoughts? If you're tired of a slash and burn politics that trades distraction for real debate, you don't have to sit idly and watch anymore."

Clinton’s site pretended that this was a real, substantive debate, "Hillary's Reviews Are In: 'The Winner,' 'Strong Presence,' 'In Her Element'" [Just like Hillary is pretending there was a primary in Michigan and Fla.]

Hillary is still the same, old, lying politician to which more and more Americans are taking a dislike.

No need to cite from last night; it's a waste of time that only Hillary could dignify.

Jan 7, 2008

Obama Pulling Away in NH

Another poll shows Obama pulling away in New Hampshire among likely Democratic voters.

The problem for Hillary is that too many Democrats and independents see her as insincere and calculating, not exactly traits distinguishing Hillary from her would-be predecessor.

Hillary needs to offer a repudiation of Bush/Cheney while simultaneously reaching out to independents, no small feat.

I think it’s a combination of conscious disinclination on Hillary’s part, and sexism among the electorate that render this political appeal vanishingly unlikely.

Madison, Wisconsin offers a sound sample of progressive Democrats’ thinking, and many criticisms of her mirror that of right-wingers: They do no personally like or trust Hillary.

Hillary needs to start thinking about tomorrow, as the junior Senator from New York and not as President Clinton.


Nov 26, 2007

Stunned by Lack of Outrage, Not Outrageous Acts

Beth Quinn: Stunned by lack of outrage, not outrageous acts

I continue to be stunned.

Not by Bush any longer. There was a time when I was stunned by nearly everything he did. Or said. Who wouldn't be stunned by a president who could say, "They misunderestimated me," and sincerely believe he's on top of things?

Nor by Cheney. His pure evil no longer surprises me, although there was a time when he routinely stunned me. Torture? Torture??

Not by Congress, either. There was a time when I was stunned by that crowd's sheeplike mentality. I'd hear them decry the war, decry torture, decry Bush's growing deficit, then I'd drop my jaw as they voted time and again to give the president carte blanche.

No longer. I fully expect Congress to disappoint, to fail to do its job in balancing the White House power grab.

I'm no longer stunned by the politicized courts nor by the media, which is unwilling to offend and uses vague, watered-down language instead of strong condemnations of this, the worst presidency in history.

So who continues to stun me?

I will tell you. I am stunned by all that is left of America: Americans.

Oct 27, 2007 No War, No Wiretaps, No Torture

Who are these guys? Against war, against illegal wiretapping, and against torture.


27 Anti-War Protests - Let's Hit the Streets
Submitted by Bob Fertik

This Saturday, October 27, people from all walks of life will gather in 11 cities around the country in a national expression of the breadth and depth of antiwar sentiment in this nation. For any people, it will be their first step in transforming their antiwar feelings into antiwar action. Regional actions will enable much larger numbers of people to participate.