Showing posts with label Beverly R. Gill v. William Whitford. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Beverly R. Gill v. William Whitford. Show all posts

Oct 5, 2017

Rightwing Justices Voice Hostility Against Social Science and Liberty in Wisconsin Gerrymandering Case

Equal Justice is not here. What, are you grilling a steak?

Identity of the perpetrator should not diminish the victims' liberty claims


Analyses of oral argument at the Wisconsin gerrymandering case, Gill v. Whitford, (U.S. Supreme Court), reveal persisting features of modern Republican social domination in federal litigation—anti-intellectualism and pale regard for citizen liberties, especially voting rights.

Put another way, the four rightest justices' posture of dumb, anti-Constitutional and hostile points to a four-Justice dissent next year in Gill at which only results-committed ideologues like Roberts, Thomas, Alito, and Gorsuch could arrive.

In Wisconsin in 2011, Republicans and only Republicans secretly engineered the gerrymandered state and congressional districting maps that all commenting parties in the political culture recognize as a means ensuring Republican power in the state legislature against political sentiment of the populace, except for the Republicans' State Senate's attorney Erin E. Murphy who said at orals, "you know, I would certainly dispute the premise that the decks are stacked here" in gerrymanders. (p. 29).

The Republican-drawn maps were found unconstitutional in 2016 by a three-judge federal panel.

This gerrymandered rigging of state democracy is an empirical fact, yet Neil M. Gorsuch for example, also played it deep-and-dumb at oral argument. [Gorsuch is performing the job for which he was appointed: Protect Republican interests against Americans, forcing one to wonder if this guy really has a clue about empirical investigation and raising the same credibility questions about the Supreme Court of the Untied States that Bush v. Gore and Citizens United present.]

Said Gorsuch at Oct. 3 orals addressing one set of proposed standards identifying an unconstitutional gerrymander: This standard is not a "real set of criteria," (p. 22). Wow, that's quick.

Erin Muphy's Law

Gorsuch later pretends to mystify straight-forward social science findings by comparing conclusions to seasoning a steak. "What is it that you want us to constitutionalize?" asks an incredulous or pretending-to be-incredulous Gorsuch. (pp 50-51). Nothing we can see, nothing we can do, nor anything should we do; that's for the political system, ignoring the clear First Amendment claims of the plaintiffs. [In the words of one of the Republicans' attorneys, Erin Murphy, extreme gerrymanders have an inherent competing social value anyway, by virtue that their extraordinary unfairness demonstrates the identity of the party in charge when the maps are secretly created. Said Murphy, asked about any social values a gerrymander may possess:  '[I]t produces values in terms of accountability that are valuable so that the people understand who isn’t and who is in power.' ... Replied Sonia Sotomayor, 'I really don't understand how any of that -- what that means. I mean, it -- it's okay to stack the decks so that for 10 years or an indefinite period of time one party, even though it gets a minority of votes, can't get a minor -- gets a minority of votes, can get the majority of seats?'  (pp 28-29)]. This new Murphy's-law reasoning can perhaps be applied to other liberty claims that compete against laws and processes with the intent to benefit discrete party coalitions. Hurt by laws legislated by party-line votes? Now, you know who did this to you. In other words, the identity of the perpetrator diminishes the victim's liberty claim.

Gerrymandering Is Real

Today in Slate Magazine, Nicholas Stephanopoulos, professor at the University of Chicago Law School specializing in election law, spells out the criteria identifying an unconstitutional gerrymander, in simple elements so easy a caveman can get it, for the benefit of Gorsuch, Alito and Roberts, [and Clearance Thomas, though Thomas doesn't speak or ask questions; he silently grunts disapproval at liberty claims]. (See also Stephanopoulos Explains the Research that Convinced SCOTUS to take the Wisconsin Gerrymandering Case.]

Writes Stephanopoulos this morning:

As one of the attorneys for the plaintiffs, I was able to attend Tuesday’s oral argument in Gill v. Whitford. At the argument, the justices probed, among other things, how the plaintiffs’ test for partisan gerrymandering would work, how reliable the social science is that underpins this test, and what the test’s implications would be for judicial involvement. Since the plaintiffs’ theory relies in part on my academic work, I’m in a good position to address these issues.

With respect to the test’s operation, Justice Gorsuch warned that a gerrymandering standard should not be like a 'steak rub.' That is, it should not be imprecise and opaque in its makeup: 'I like some turmeric, I like a few other little ingredients, but I’m not going to tell you how much of each.'
In reality, the plaintiffs’ proposed test for adjudicating gerrymandering claims is more akin to a detailed recipe than a mystery stew. The test has four elements, and litigants would be required to go through them one by one, proceeding to the next phase only if they satisfied the previous criterion. These four elements are:
  1. Was the district plan enacted with the discriminatory intent of benefiting one party and handicapping another one? Maps drawn by a single party in full control of the state government often (but not always) have this motive.

  2. Has the plan exhibited (or is the plan forecast to exhibit) a historically large partisan asymmetry? A partisan asymmetry means a map does not treat the parties equally in terms of how their votes translate into seats. A map’s asymmetry can easily be calculated and then compared to historical data to determine if it’s unusually big.

  3. Is the plan’s partisan asymmetry durable? To find out, a range of plausible election results should be considered. A map’s asymmetry should be deemed persistent enough only if it would endure across this range of outcomes.

  4. Is the plan’s partisan asymmetry unjustified? At this final step, the gold standard is to use a computer algorithm to simulate many maps that satisfy the state’s legitimate redistricting criteria. The challenged plan’s asymmetry is unjustified only if it exceeds that of most of the simulated maps.
Under this approach, there would be some easy cases, like the Wisconsin State Assembly plan at issue in Whitford. This plan’s authors admitted its pro-Republican intent. Its partisan asymmetry is worse than that of any map nationwide between 1972 and 2010. Its asymmetry would persist even if there was a massive Democratic wave. And its asymmetry is larger than that of any simulated assembly map. Conversely, it’s clear a plan would be upheld if it was designed through a bipartisan or nonpartisan process, if its asymmetry was historically small, if its asymmetry would disappear under slightly different electoral conditions, or if it was no more asymmetric than most simulated maps.

In playing dumb, social dominators like Gorsuch, Alito Roberts and Thomas continue a long, sordid tradition in federal litigation of liberty claims the last 65 years. Unequal public schools? Public accommodation of ethnic minorities? Housing discrimination? Equality of law and processes? Voting? What? Do we litigate every public functioning and process if someone makes a liberty claim?

Yes we do, it's a civil liberties thing. In this case, a First and Fourteenth Amendment thing.

Oct 4, 2017

Wisconsin Gerrymandering Case: Kennedy's Questions at Oral Argument Suggest Citizens' Win Against GOP, Experts Say

Wisconsin gerrymandering case, Gill v. Whitford,
at Oct 3 oral argument at U.S. Supreme Court.
 See Gill v. Whitford for transcript from
U.S. Supreme Court
.
In Wisconsin's potentially precedent-setting gerrymandering case at the U.S. Supreme Court, several experts focusing on Justice Anthony Kennedy's questioning say a win for citizens' First Amendment rights against Republican incursions here appears likely.

The case is Gill v. Whitford, (U.S. Supreme Court).

Kennedy's questioning excoriated one of the Republicans' attorney, (representing the GOP-led Wisconsin State Senate), Erin E. Murphy.

Reports Mark Joseph Stern at Slate Magazine from the October 3 oral argument:

Erin E. Murphy then takes over for [Wisconsin Solicitor General Misha ] Tseytlin at the lectern. She represents the Wisconsin State Senate, where the Republican majority would very much like to stay in power. Kennedy promptly grills Murphy with a sharp hypothetical: Imagine a law that compels legislators to draw maps that consider 'traditional principles' but must maximally favor one party. Would that be constitutional? And under what principle? Murphy ducks the query for several minutes before an irked Kennedy eventually intones: 'I’d like an answer to the question.'

Murphy admits that such a law might constitute 'a First Amendment violation in the sense that it is viewpoint discrimination.' It’s an odd moment, since she is effectively telling the justices that, yes, her client violated the Constitution, but, no, the court can’t do anything about it. Justice Sonia Sotomayor seizes the moment to ask Murphy 'what the value is to democracy from political gerrymandering.' Murphy provides a gloriously nonsensical answer, asserting that 'it produces values in terms of accountability that are valuable so that the people understand who isn’t and who is in power.'

'I really don’t understand what that means,' Sotomayor deadpans. The liberal justices have eaten Murphy’s lunch, and she slinks off.

Stern's analysis is seconded by Adam Liptak and Michael D. Shear in the NYT:

After spirited Supreme Court arguments on Tuesday, there was reason to think Justice Kennedy may be ready to join the court’s more liberal members in a groundbreaking decision that could reshape American democracy by letting courts determine when lawmakers have gone too far.

Justice Kennedy asked skeptical questions of lawyers defending a Wisconsin legislative map that gave Republicans many more seats in the State Assembly than their statewide vote tallies would have predicted. He asked no questions of the lawyer representing the Democratic voters challenging the map.

See also Edward B. Foley - Moritz College of Law and Rick Hasen's Election Law. and Steven Mazie at The Economist.

Sep 13, 2017

U.S. Supreme Court Order on Gerrymanding Signals Bad Day for Wisconsin and Democracy

Madison, Wisconsin — The latest move by Justice Anthony Kennedy to consolidate Republican power over the Constitutional rights of voters in a Texas civil rights case bodes ill for the future of the potential precedent-setting Wisconsin gerrymandering case, (Gill v. Whitford, MortizLaw), (Beverly R. Gill, et al., Appellants v. William Whitford, U.S. Supreme Court).

Kennedy is the fifth vote in a mid-September order blocking two federal courts that ruled Republican-created Texas voting districts are racially discriminatory, (Abbott v. Perez, 17A225, and Abbott v. Perez, 17A245, U.S. Supreme Court).

The Texas case is widely seen as a signal that supposed-swing vote, Anthony Kennedy, will ignore Constitutional rights and find for Republican interests in Gill v. Whitford, to be heard in oral argument on Oct. 3.

Kennedy is the author of the infamous Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission decision that propelled Republican interests in a decision that rivaled Bush v. Gore in partisan favoritism and corruption on the United States Supreme Court.

"For those who expect Justice Kennedy to be a savior here—or in the Gill partisan gerrymandering case (where he also voted with the Court to stop an interim remedy in Wisconsin pending Supreme Court resolution)—this is one data point against that hope," notes election law expert, Rick Hasen.

See also Foley at MoritzLaw and the Sept. 5 Amicus brief by the League of Women Voters on "high-tech stealth gerrymander[ing], (p24)" that utilizes "sophisticated technologies" enabling legislatures to "cloak intentional, extreme partisan gerrymander, (p.3)."

Kennedy will likely ignore this cloaked, high-tech element of modern gerrymandering when Kennedy supplies the fifth vote for Republicans in 2018 in the ornate scam that defines modern Constitutional jurisprudence.

Could Kennedy be seized by a spasm of conscience? Ha.