Gov. Scott Walker Will Lose by Four Points, Says Harry Enten

Scott Walker equals underdog, desperate, sinking ship ...

Madison, Wisconsin — Gov. Scott Walker (R) will lose his reelection bid by four percentage points to Tony Evers, Democratic Party nominee, says polling expert Harry Enten, (CNN).

Enten's model tracks with conventional wisdom that paints a hostile terrain for Walker, (Bauer, AP), (Nichols, The Nation).

Moreover, Enten's model does not account for increased turnout from populous Wisconsin municipalities that tend to vote Democratic-progressive.

Wisconsin cities have contacted Madison election officials (second largest city) asking about facilitating voter turnout.

Bureaucratic training of metro election officials has accelerated following a 2016 federal court decision that freed municipal election officials to pursue voter-friendly policies.

Green Bay, third largest city, is expected to have near-presidential turnout, a local election official says.

Scott Walker and Republicans are desperate, and a new round of negative, dark-money ads are flooding the state.

But Walker and Republicans have maxed-out the low-information, racist, stupid vote, and a visit by Donald Trump likely cannot save Scott Walker.

All Walker and Republicans can do is scream black and brown people are going to kill you, as early-vote numbers come in signaling the end of Wisconsin's worst era in its statehood.

2,008 Madisonians voted at one of our in-person absentee voting locations today making it our busiest day yet this election! To date, 11,616 voters have voted in-person absente, and 16,148 total absentee ballots have been cast in the City of Madison. pic.twitter.com/7fSZhrxhkm

— Madison WI Clerk (@MadisonWIClerk) October 24, 2018

So you've heard Donald Trump is appearing in Wisconsin with
Scott Walker. You know they're racist. You know they're
sexist. And you know they have a terrible record on
just about every issue imaginable.

You also know the visit is going to be splashed across
newspapers and television screens across the
state ad nauseam, and there's probably not much you can
do about that.

But there is something you can do right now to help stop
Donald Trump and Scott Walker's racist, sexist agenda:
VOTE. EARLY.

Stop what you're doing. Go to the polls. And vote. Right now.

Need help? Start here. Via One Wisconsin Now

Wisconsin Midterms — Dems' Get out the Vote v. GOP's Stop the Vote

Madison, Wisconsin — A middle-aged black woman tried to early-vote at the Meadowood Library, and left the polling place dejected in August.

She wasn't registered and had no proof of residence, so she could not register or vote.

But she had no apparent intention of going home and returning with proof of residency.

"It's alright," she said. "Forget it."

The voter explained to an attentive poll worker she didn't like Wisconsin's photo voter ID law, a distaste that shaped her feelings towards the entire voting process, including a simple voter-registration step.

This woman is a Republican success story — a nonvoting resident who is dismayed and frustrated, too discouraged to vote.

In Wisconsin, as in the nation, a key Republican objective is blocking and frustrating as many voters as possible.

Democrats and progressive are voting rights advocates, passionately.

In the last 10 years in their voter-obstruction effort, Wisconsin Republicans falsely claimed:

• Legal mandate for exact-match of state databases as a condition of voting, (2008)
• Imperative for all municipalities running only one early-voting site
• Requirement that ''dorm lists' used as proof of residence include citizenship information
• 28-day residency requirement leads to fraud
• Prohibition on distributing absentee ballots by fax or email
• Bar on using expired but otherwise qualifying student IDs
• Need for narrow range of photo voter ID as condition of voting
•  Determination to illegally block state elections

Many voter-obstruction laws were swept away in federal court in 2016, (Mal Contends).

Wisconsin progressives and citizens' groups pushing the Democratic Party may sweep away Republicans in the Wisconsin midterms, as early voting accelerates this week.

Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) seems likely to be reelected.

Wisconsin voters may be able to breech the gerrymandered state legislative districts.

An unknown question is the governor's race between Scott Walker (R) and Tony Evers (D).

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) and Barack Obama are coming to Milwaukee in the next week to get out the black and young vote in segregated southeastern Wisconsin.

Tony Evers is a weak candidate. Attempts to paint over this milquetoast, equivocating bureaucrat with no history of work for social justice are not compelling.

In Bloomberg this morning, veteran political operative and Democratic Party analyst, Bill Dixon of Madison, spins a comical riff trying to prop up Evers: "Tony is the smooth, calming presence, talking about education, that gives us a much better chance than previous elections against Walker."

Right. All over Wisconsin are working families and communities looking for politicians to calm them.

What Wisconsin families want from elected officials is simply people who are working for them, not for donors to Scott Walker.

Not for Foxconn.

Not for special interests.

The national political winds and voting rights work may lift a less-than-gifted Tony Evers over the most corrupt and destructive politician Wisconsin has ever experienced.

Almost 2 out of 3 Americans did not vote in 2014. As a result, extreme-right wing Republicans swept the midterms.

This year is going to be different. If young people vote in 2018, you will transform America.

— Bernie Sanders (@BernieSanders) October 22, 2018