Oct 20, 2007

GOP Senate Disaster in 2008

The Republicans Are Going to Lose
[A recurring feature pointing to evidence and analyses of the Republicans’ pending defeat in 2008.]

Prospects are so bleak for the Republicans that Democrats can count as a possibility that the 2008 election will bring in a filibuster-proof Democratic majority in the U.S. Senate.

From Jennifer E. Duffy in the National Journal:
In each Senate election cycle, the political parties must play the hands they're dealt. Opportunities to reshuffle the deck or trade in cards are virtually nonexistent. But, usually, each party finds it holds both high and low cards -- as well as the possibility of a winning hand.

For 2008, though, Senate Democrats have been dealt the political equivalent of a royal flush, while Republicans received nothing but low cards.

The GOP must defend 22 seats, compared with just 12 for the Democrats. Republicans are stuck with at least five open seats; no Democratic incumbent is retiring. Democrats also hold a substantial fundraising advantage. And, finally, Republicans must play their lousy hand in a national political environment hostile to their party. ...
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